Saturday, 1 December 2018

Macro-Level Trends – Reducing Automotive 'Socialised Costs' – Breaking-Down the Interdisciplinary (Crash) Barriers at MIRA, AAAM and Beyond



The last heavily moralistic web-log message of war remembrance deliberately utilised the initials of AAAM (An Alternative Armistice Message). Since mentioned here, done so not by chance, given the initials of an organisation called AAAM : the Association for the Advancement of Automotive Medicine.

The fatally injured and life-long injured of war 'stand' (yet often sit) as both social reminders of events, yet also as modern-day social heroes; precisely because of the socialised 'fight the good fight' origins of their carried injuries.

Yet those killed or seriously injured as the result of a road accident are not similarly regarded by society; they all too often appear in the public consciousness as merely 'statistics' or as 'unfortunates'.

Perhaps the only exemption being a psuedo-hero status of the motorcycle rider, whether or not reflective of their own circumstances and reality, regarded as daring rebels of the road and so with some caché given the overtones of the Isle of Man TT.

(This year the name Dan Kneen added to the list of 260 lost road warriors since 1907)

Whether from war or road accident, those devastatingly injured require re-rehabilitation, itself different degrees of both physical and mental. The most robust individuals appear to 'come through'; though always mentally altered to some extent; even if a constant brave face endures.

Physical injuries sustained both then and now, range across a wide spectrum: from loss of limbs to facial reconstruction, organ transplants, bone reconstruction with mechanical fixings, to tissue and skin grafting.

Whilst the mental ranges from truly life altering Post Traumatic Stress Disorder and subsequent mental collapse, to in mid-stages the desire for revenge upon the enemy or the world at large for what has been endured. This stemming from the desire to emotionally transfer the depth of personal suffering to others, to gain an almost impossible shared experience and understanding that results from such deep suffering.

Within the military, even with complex training regimes, once separated from the military environment, the typical soldier cannot easily come to terms with the impacted reality of heavy warfare and its effect upon (typically) himself. For all the support and mutual bonding of fellow soldiers life is irrevocably different; especially when returned to 'Civvy Street'.

Whilst in civilian society at itself, there may be an equal (or infact even greater) argument to state that victims of severe road traffic accidents – who themselves are physically and mentally changed as a result – have a greater nightmare to live through. As a notionally normal, typically comfortable life – expanded by the freedom provided by vehicles - alters into what at worst feels to be utter physical dependency on others.

For all its profound improvements to life throughout the 20th century, the car in the 21st century has become increasingly demonised in society; primarily because of emissions pollution and grid-lock and obviously as carriers of death and destruction when portrayed in the worst light.

Thanks to across the board improvements in road-planning, driver training, vehicle design and road-traffic accident medical response and hospital capabilities, the experience of Developed Nations has been the ability to off-set the explosion of 20th century vehicle use with a general trending decrease in the numbers of killed and seriously injured.

The accompanying graph is extracted straight from Wikipedia and illustrates the UK trend-line of those killed between 1926 and 2016.

By 1926 Britain had become a much mechanised society, the internal combustion engine changing the face of not just urban and rural roads but the broader countryside. Though by then dominant, ICE powered vehicles, from motorcycle to the small 3-wheeler Runabout to the AEC truck or bus, were simply another layer of road transport complexity; ontop of well established steam-driven giants, electric trams, the remnants of the horse-drawn and of course the plethora of bicycles. By the 1920s shared roadways were essentially semi-controlled chaos and thus unsurprisingly the statistics of 4,886 deaths conveys such.

That figure rose dramatically over the next 15 years, largely as the result of the rise of vehicle ownership. All too ironically, though many private cars had to be de-commissioned through the War, the death toll peaked in in 1941 at 9,169, because of pedestrians', cyclists' and drivers' inability to see each other consequential from the 'black-out' requirements specified upon motor vehicles; so as not to be seen by enemy bombers in the skies.

[NB In Europe, the use of the wartime 'letter-box' lamp-covers led to the vehicle manufacturers' adoption of low intensity “side-lights” after the war, which became standard use for many right up until the late 1970s; and avoiding the irritating glare (and light pollution) that has become so common today]

Death figures plunged between 1941 and 1950 to 5,000. People had became both used to heavier traffic conditions and had become more road aware. Whilst the re-popularisation of the private car on still antiquated road networks, led to road-network over-load, and the effective slowing-down of average speeds.

That trend would unfortunately reverse between 1950 and 1966 as car ownership expanded seemingly almost exponentially in the boom years and the young took to the road on 2, 3 and 4 motorised wheels. A mix of new roads (from dual carriage ways to By-Passes), increased vehicle speed capabilities, the glamorisation of speed (via personalities from Donald Campbell's 'Bluebird' to Marlon Brando's Triumph Thunderbird to Stirling Moss's Mercedes SLR to Audrey Hepburn's 'Pagoda' SL in 'Two for the Road' ) relayed an almost socialised need for a generation of young men, and some women, to prove themselves aswell as the inevitable rise of less obviously blame-worthy accidents. So for all the careful safety orientated new road-planning, a mix of testosterone on public road 'race-tracks', the inevitability of the much increased national 'car parc', and cars designed for production volumes and performance at a price – and not safety - meant a steep climb in death over those 2 decades.

However, that trend-line declined again – consistently so - between 1966 and 1998. It was obvious that even with still expanding car ownership and usage, the enormous focus upon safety - from many quarters - was having a very positive effect upon statistical improvement. From the professionalisation of driver-training, to the adoption of 'cats eyes' and 'deformable barriers', the increased demands of MOTs, advancement of vehicle body crumple-zones, the legal necessity of seat belt use , introduction of the breathalyser and that of speed-cameras, and ever more passive and reactive vehicle technologies: from anti-roll bars (in suspension geometry) to the gradual adoption of anti-skid ABS (in brake callipers) to interior fitment 'air-bags'.

It all meant the devils of injury and death were being better contained by society. By 1998, about 3,400 people had been killed that year.

The trend flat-lined between 1998 – 2004, as the result of a balance of increased miles driven in an economic boom period of high vehicle sales, with the potential greater number crashes off-set by the broadened application of better technologies in newer vehicles.

2004 – 2010 saw another marked decrease in deaths, from 3,400 to 2,000. This partially the result of continued new road-planning regimes enabled by bloated local government debt (such as policy-slowed urban rat-runs for children). And the more rapid update (ie newness) of the UK 'car parc' given the widespread application of all-inclusive 3 year lease-contracts on new cars; which itself provided for an increase in the pace of installed safety technologies as standard expectations in even small cars. This process itself sped-up thanks to the recognition and popularity of the Euro NCAP vehicle rating system; which became central to manufacturers' marketing.

And 2010 – 2016 saw another flat-line, this flattered by the result of both fewer miles driven (over the long recession period) and the real-world affect of high-content, standard-fit, safety tech across virtually the whole of the UK's modern vehicles.

That then is broadly the UK's story, which - with specific locational exceptions – is also largely applicable to Europe and the USA. In effect the Developed Countries' story.

But what of the EM regions?

Thankfully because of greater global economic and so consumer alignment – 'the global convergence' – today both AM and EM regions new cars come far better equipped (though to varying degrees with primary (ie accident avoidance) and secondary (accident reactive) safety systems.

But inevitably even new cars have different specifications dependant upon specific in-market characteristics that encompasses much : from price/cost to culture to regulatory demands; so as to provide for affordability, the manufacturer's profit margin and thus toward an expanding vehicle market to aid travel, communication, infrastructure investment and so private and public generated national economic expansion.

Yet many lower order EM countries in Asia, the CIS states, Africa and South America, because of less stable economies will often have a large 'grey-market' import basis in their good years. Which inevitably deploys a span of more aged vehicles of varying condition that range from the near new and well-maintained, to generally run-down to virtual death traps.

The best governments instil the lessons learned from the West regards rationalised and safety enhanced road planning, though usually in a very fundamental, basic manner per traffic management and flow. Yet still natives will philosophically and physically by-pass what they see as their contained new freedom on 2, 3, 4 or more wheels.

To any rational and globally aware person the road transport sights of much of the 2nd and 3rd world is both highly theatrical, absorbing and yet also deeply concerning.

Hence whilst the BRICs and CIVETS countries have been seen to slowly improve road infrastructure planning and creation to cope with the increase in vehicle numbers, as seen from the Youtube uploads of in-car cameras, there is still a massive disparity in road-use habits and culture across drivers, riders and pedestrians between EM and DM countries.

As the vehicles themselves become ever more 'safe', the very mentality of road users must likewise be improved dramatically – done so via public information films and the law - to avoid the high number of deaths caused by testosterone-fuelled and ego-fuelled drivers of all ages given the EM's greater proclivity of social stratification (ie 'status'), itself closely related to competitive ego (in men and women).

Developed countries and their governments – even today with stagnant and declining 'car parcs' of their own - will continue to seek to ensure a decline in the social and personal impact of road traffic accidents; especially so with the social push toward cycling and walking, so exposing more people to possibilities of road traffic accidents.

[NB given a strong focus on the need to better categorise road accident statistics, and the emergence of a large fraudulent road accident claim culture amongst petty criminals, the old term RTA has been expanded to include RTI: road traffic incident].

And what of the future?

For the past decade the concept of totally automated vehicle mobility has been a central theme of technology and broad media; deliberately broadcast so as to push the advancement of such technologies and their social acceptance.

As many have come to know, the accepted SAE definitions of automated driving spans across 5 levels : from basic assistance (such as predictive braking) at Level One, through to Level Five of complete automation (ie collection and delivery of the passenger without any driver interaction of vehicle propulsion and steering systems). Levels 3 and 4 are rightly contentious (requiring the irrational paradox of driver awareness whilst relaxing or otherwise engaged, without vehicle control, so as to intercede per a possible accident – a ridiculous 'no-man's land' and 'danger-space' in the real world).

At a truly achievable Level 5, the concept eventually leads to the notional concept of the physically and mentally all encompassing 'Cocoon'. Wherein a totally safety orientated vehicle and safety shell and interior provides for n insular environment in which to relax, sleep, entertain or work. It means the automated travelling adult becomes euphemistically 'cotton-wool wrapped' to become absorbed in their own mental-space, as s/he is transported

But any such possible outcome, beyond testing 'pilot' sites, is still many years away given the technology, infrastructure, policy and social acceptance complications of such a dreamt utopian 'sci-fi' vision

In the meantime, governments around the world must seek to protect their citizens from their own and others' road-going stupidity and carelessness.

And vitally, seek to improve the lives of those physically and mentally affected by the life-changing consequences of road traffic accidents.

One major platform within the socio-economic promotion of the recent past has been renewed fascination and resurgence of the 'Life Sciences'; now recognised as a high potential growth arena, devolved from Sports Sciences and increasingly directed toward e-tech consumer culture.

The rapid rise from the analogue ratchet-counted 'step-o-metre' to the iPhone enabled bio-diagnostic App has been astounding. The market for shaping consumer consciousness and providing solutions to that new awareness has grown enormously; as seen by the myriad of Start-Up, Venture Capital and Large Cap Company investments in this field.

There are profits to be made that satiates the health concerns of an increasingly phsyio-educated and so health conscious public – even if the real level of true medical education as opposed to 'medicised marketing' be relatively scant.

This emergent 'medi-tech' backdrop has its positive ripples spanning beyond the health anxieties of the average person.

It puts renewed focus upon the broader societal concerns regards public health.
That concern though has wavered over the decades and centuries. 

Migrating from the auditorium dissection tables of the 18th century, and the dis-proving of 'miasma theory' regards spread infection, to in the late 19th century the likes of Florence Nightingale, John Snow and Charles Booth and their vital use of statistics as geographically wide apart as both the theatre of war in The Crimea and London's Theatre-land and surrounding districts so as to track and locate the origins of disease, its causes, and the environmental specifics.

In the 19th century, it moved into the formalised laboratory using the advancement of biology and chemistry with researchers such as Pasteur, Fleming, and the Curies. Research fields expanded to span a myriad of disciplines from Biochemistry to Zoology after recognition of Darwin's truisms about shared origins of species (as well known by those in distant antiquity given the similarity of skeletal and organ structures of mammals). But now taken further to encompass the biological breakdowns of divergent applications. Such as that of Keratin, spanning from the fragility of human finger-nails to toughness of rhino horns, to the massive spectrum of various animals' electrically governed bio-chemical nervous system, from human heart beats to the high voltage electric eel.

In the 20th century the names of famous transplant surgeons such as Barnard, or the ground-breaking research of Crick, Watson and Wilkins per the unravelling of DNA, became public debate.

And in the 21st century, the renewed focus on external and internal applications of bio-mechanics, ranging from improved vascular blood-flow valves to limb replacement prosthetics; together with a broadened approach to materials sciences and unrejected metals, plastics and composites.

That has opened up a new world of 'grown bio-materials' which can be sourced from Stem cells and formed around specific and cell-recognisable 'scaffolds' into known and yet discovered body replacement parts, ranging from ball-and -socket joints to possibly wholly grown organs.

Bio-engineering reflecting the advancements made in molecular engineering by the likes of Rolls-Royce Aero and its singular crystalline fan blade. If aeronautical parts can be grown in a lab, on this basis, why might not 'scaffold theory' work for at least some physiological replacement items? Though perhaps not all.

However, beyond the 'amazing science' stories, less publicised are the efforts of researchers in the specific research field of vehicle accident analysis.

Whilst after WW2, Britain and America had been testing the human limits regards aeronautical and space travel (specifically the effect of high 'G' applications) with test pioneers such as Beeding and Stapp, and the US Auto industry had long undertaken roll-over and cliff-drop tests to check body strength, in the USA, the realm of disciplined automotive crash research did not start until the mid 1950s using cadavers, animals and some live volunteers. Those methods soon replaced by anthropometrically devised 'crash-test dummies'.

These spanning a wide evolution from the initial 'Sierra Sam' to the latest Hybrid III and THOR model variations for different age ranges.

In Britain, such human-centric research work did not commence until 1968.

That year the research work of MIRA (the Motor Industry Research Association) was expanded under government edict to include vehicle crash outcomes on not only the vehicle structure, but also for the “human component” (ie the effect on adults, later children and eventually including babies).

The initial efforts regards 'head-on' crash tests were later followed by 'rear impact', 'partial off-set' test and later side-impact tests; akin to the USA.

Gradually, the learning from such testing started to become ever better structured, designed and complex. Feedback to the packaging engineers, structural engineers, interior engineers, trim and hardware engineers and electrical engineers providing a positive feedback loop to vehicle manufacturers for each successive new generation platform and model type.

But what of humans themselves?

Quite obviously, the 'live guinea-pig' efforts of Beeding and Stapp could not be morally replicated even by a willing participant. Thus, as seen, the technical sophistication of Crash-Test Dummies gradually increased to better reflect the 50th (and other) percentiles groups of Euro-centric humans at different age ranges (per height, body-type and mass). Leading to the Hybrid III 'model family'.

[NB since 2015 the auto-centric Hybrid III has itself influenced the evolution of 'WIAMan' (the Warrior Injury Assessment Mannequin), as created by the US Army, to replicate direct blast effects upon various vehicle 'hull' designs (flat-bottomed and sacrificial to V-hull)

Within the automotive realm, these ATD's (anthropometric test devices) now sit under global regulations for specification, but their evolutional path was arguably slow, given the schism between complexity and costs of testing for participant manufacturers, and the fact that for years they sought the issue of vehicle crash was best avoided so as not to spoil the automotive fantasy dream-scape that had been moulded into the minds of buyers through TV and showrooms.

Hence it was not until the mid 1990s – and the fear-effect of SUV roll-over stories and that of the original Smart Car and Mercedes A-Class – did the public become directly concerned and influenced by the issue of safety testing and performance ratings.

But, as seen with THOR's development progress, much depends upon the health of the auto-industry itself to pay for and progress new advances in crash testing itself. With economic recessions comes the typical hiatus in testing development, and also inevitably the closure of the specialist firm manufacturing the 'dummies'. And so today, as the result of this niche sector's previous bankruptcies and acquisitions, Humanetics and DentonATD are the providers of THOR

Given that real-world crash-testing is so expensive (inevitably priced within a new platform programme) and research laboratories wish to expand their own services, both manufacturers and crash-research labs have long explored the usefulness and limitations of Computer Aided Testing.

To this end, Britain's MIRA bought Creative Automotive Design Consultancy in 2003, two years after having been formally structured as a limited company; though actually seeking a non-profit basis so as to recycle fees back into the business over the next decade.

Yet this only one side of the Accident Research story; the precursive element that seeks to avoid and reduce road crash consequences.

There is obviously the counterpoint...

The world of anatomical / phsysiological, that deals with the very humanistic side, and so the medical research realm.

And within this are both a limited number of Medical Research bodies, and dedicated specialist equipment and instruments required within that field.

With this appreciation and vision of how to advance beyond the research and service limitations of 3-D CAD testing, it was the strategic imperative of Japanese firm HORIBA to purchase MIRA three years ago; to coalesce the Test and Modelling regimes with greater directly human-centric medical research, analysis and discipline advancement.

HORIBA designs and manufactures a wide range of research items related to Automotive Research and Development, Process Monitoring, Environmental Monitoring, In-Vitro Medical Diagnostics, Metrology, Semi-Conductor Manufacturing and and various Quality Control instruments.

Obviously it saw MIRA as a high value, very niche, 'bolt-on' asset to expand its spectrum of core business streams. And believes that a highly synergistic in-house economic eco-system can be both strengthened and expanded.

Beyond this, we enter the realm of true Anatomical and Biological Research.

This is the realm of AAAM : the Association for the Advancement of Automotive Medicine.

It was established to act as the research hub for true medical professionals (not the pseudo-kinds abound today in broad society) to gain better insights into the medical perspective of the wide spectrum of vehicle related issues; from cognitive abilities of drivers in various stress inducing situations, to the need for global standards regards recognition and identification of transport related injuries.

That latter topic has been the central focus for a decade, through to the now increasingly recognised AIS (Abbreviated Injury Scale) and ISS (Injury Severity Score).

As its website states...”the AIS provides standardized terminology to describe the injuries and ranks injuries by severity. Current AIS users include: health organisations for clinical trauma management, outcome evaluation....motor vehicle crash investigators, and researchers for epidemiological studies and systems development”.

Epidemiology is the research base that seeks to gain insights into fundamental patterns of public health. It's prime concerns being sound methodology, sound basis of data collection and sound formulation of resulting hypothesis. As such, analysis and conclusions are typically statistically communicated and so the discipline itself represents the latest evolutionary path first trodden by the likes of Florence Nightingale, John Snow and Charles Booth.

Just as a motor vehicle is a multi-systems based machine, so through the eyes of a physician is the human body. From the electro-chemical impulses that govern the nervous system, to the reaction processes within each sphere of the brain, to lung and heart capacities, to bone density, to muscle strength, and so much more.

So although hardly appreciated, human beings in their most basic interpretation are sentient organic machines. And it has been this very perspective of 'bio-system-engineering' that has allowed for the research and advances made by humankind; from Leonardo da Vinci's secretive anatomical dissections frowned upon by the church for its Enlightenment learning, to the latest efforts to match non-rejection materials with bone, tissue and organs.

But this is about as far as the broad systems comparison may go; the philosophical perspective.

Since for all the manufacturers' efforts to imbue more humanistic qualities (such as digital-PA voices, soft-touch buttons and cushioned interiors, the inorganic and computer-enabled vehicle is still the polar opposite of the organic and highly sentient human being.

The old phrase “oil / petrol in the blood” is only metaphoric, even if boy and girl street and track racers believe themselves to be extensions of their machines; or vice versa.

And given this reality, as much research and development work should and must continue in the enormously broad discipline of Transport Crash Research.

From the optimal seat designs and hi-concept escape methods of aeroplanes, to real-world wearable technology solutions for bicycle-riders.

Thus, the very notion of 'Vehicle Medicine' should be accepted and expanded.

So that the Research Institutions, Vehicle Manufacturers and Tier1 systems designers, can alike devise better Primary and Secondary Safety systems. And so likewise, the Medical Fraternity, from Ambulance Squad to Rehabilitation Specialist, can better treat the instances and results of physical and mental trauma...inevitably abound from higher and high-speed accidents; that the human body was hardly evolved to withstand.

All inevitably increasingly monitored by, and reliant upon, the rapidly emergent discipline of meaningful (not techno-marketing) bio-metrics.

Those who have been unfortunate enough to have been involved in heavy transport accidents, whether typically on land (or from the air) are rarely ever the same person again, even if it appears so.

And whilst the personality types of true heroes such as 'air-ace' Douglas Barder or racing driver Billy Monger, might jokingly see the 'upsides' of lost limbs, such as reduced driver weight and reduced potential for injury in any possible future crash; all is just dark-humour to cope from within.

Thankfully for years through disability driver schemes, the standard car has long been lightly to heavily modified to enable disabled drivers to take to the road, and done so without the stigma of the light-blue 3 wheeled 'Disability Carriages', last seen in the early 1980s here in the UK.

And thankfully the very stigma of disability and disabled driving has long-eroded from the public consciousness; the largely broader and more sensitive minds of the public recognising that 'people are just people' in whatever shape or form. Ironically increasingly seeing the application of bio-engineering solutions (eg titanium prosthetics and carbon fibre 'blades') upon the human form as imbuieing that person with super-human 'hybrid' status.

And TV programmes like Channel 4's 'The Last Leg' have done much to create general acceptance and so normalisation of physical disability; from multiple amputees to thalidomide affected adults to palsy sufferers and so much more.

And that is good news.

But road accidents are no laughing matter, for either the individual or society at large.

Servicing the effects of the aftermath (and other general disabilities) has created an economic eco-system of its own; from private rehabilitation centres, to mobility aids, to car and van modification 'coachbuilders'.

It is an ever expanding economic sphere that can and should be spread around the world; especially so to EM countries via governmental inter-trade initiatives.

[NB Let us remember, that it was in-part, Franklin D Roosevelt's humble offer of his wheelchair to King Ibn Saud that allowed the US access to the middle-eastern oil-fields].

But it is highly unlikely that such disability entrepreneurs are 'laughing all the way to the bank'; since many have experienced the heartache personally and so been drawn into the commercialised service of the lesser able.

But as the EM regions and world continues to take to 2, 3, 4 and more wheels in their own search of freedom and status aspiration; so the breadth of Healthcare and the Bio-Sciences connected to the automotive world will multiply.

Hopefully so in a direct proportion of a reduction in worldwide vehicle accident rates and consequentially shattered lives.

Let the dire lived realities of those who are remembered in the previous 'An Alternative Armistice Message' inform and improve the lives of those today who find themselves physically and mentally altered by (on a travel-distance logged basis) the increasingly rare major transport accident.

Since human physiology will hardly evolve at a pace, the 'unnaturally' fast machines that rapidly traverse road, rail, sky and sea, must, as standard practice include in their development, greater crash research analysis, at vehicle and human levels, and critically their intersect. And of course the aftermath effects of crash trauma, treatment and after-care services.

The vital realms sit between (wo)man and machine.....vehicle crash-testing and physiological / psychological human-repair.