Thursday 28 February 2019

Macro level Trends – UK Growth - From Whitehall's White Papers to White Space Opportunism (Part 1)


The previous web-log highlighted the need for social cohesion and mutuality, so as to regrow Britain's fortunes. Done so by the identification and creation of 'White Space Opportunities' across a myriad of commercial fields; locally, regionally, nationally and internationally.

Yet before being able to, recognition of a somewhat 'broken society', with many alienated and often 'broken people' – especially in no and low income areas - needs to be openly and honestly recognised and addressed by policy-makers.

Where once there was periodically a disaffected youth , such as the late 1940s and late 1970s, today broad portions of Britain are disaffected to one degree or another, simply because the old social structures, familiarity, co-dependability and so general stability has for many people utterly dissappeared. Many in Britain today feel caught between the culture industry's perpetual utopian olde worlde ideal of Britishness, and modern Mosaic Britain which counters, dispenses or revises great swathes of that past, and so an unsure dislocated future in which the very substance of Britain appears wholly altered yet still  masquerades under the old totems.

Part of that problem is that all too unfortunately, much needed trust between individuals, peoples and the many agenda driven institutions of both state and quasi-state and corporations.  Trust - not just in the UK but elsewhere as well -  sits at an all time low.

Instead the 21st century banner of notional 'inclusion' seems only truly within diverse and divisive clique-centric groups of the same values (ie 'virtue-signalling') and hue, whether political, ethnic or both. Whilst it is also recognised that in actuality power-hungry interests will pose as both sides of the debate, or will shift with the altering social zeitgeist. Whilst at 'street level' the distrust eminates from blatantly transparent associative mind games; especially prevalent by those that try to falsely build trust.

[NB this the outcome of a much increased sociological and psychological literate population; as the individual has to perminantly cognitively deconstruct and recognise all about him/her – a ridiculous existence for many].

Another dimension of lost trust, even within 'the group's is when one section takes advantage of the other through false promises.

An example of this is when say a trained female runs classes in basic motor mechanics, under the pretense of empowering women, against the likelihood of over-charging  by men in what is historically a male dominated industry.

But the skills taught are invariably very basic. Changing a wheel or changing the oil are only the tip of the iceberg of auto-mechanics, especially on modern vehicles.  A breadth of engineering knowledge required, and use of expensive plug-in diagnostic equipment, when dealing with so many of today's performance, safety and emissions issues. This 'training' then a false impression of empowerment offered and gullibly taken. The female student then knows very little more that is actually useful than before, and is still not equipped to intelligently discuss the identified or misidentified problems with her car.

Similarly, but conveniently unmentioned, is the fact that ignorant  men are likewise to be taken advantage of by the male dominated garage sector. To be able to  question repair or servicing costs one needs an in-depth auto-mechanical education, formal or self taught.

Thus we see that even members of the 'empowerment crowd' are seen as ripe pickings by their own false prophets seeking fat profits.

Such a socially  miss-sold bill of goods and services then perpetuates the distrust even amongst the clique.

A true socio-economic mess, from which to try and rebuild a nation.

The danger is that a contracted low growth economy, together much increased immorality (seen well into the notional middle-classes with the falsities of 'social acting') inevitably prohibits the Enlightenment Ideal of agenda-free, truth and value-seeking interaction. The plainly transparent 'social acting' amongst many (from notional professionals to public-service administrators and beyond) inevitably destabalises what should be an advanced society with bright future.

Presently, easily plied high-rhetoric of an emotionally charged politics, and media focus on political trivialities, appears to supersede any meaningful debate regards economic rationality. The big debate should not be about Labour, Conservatives (or the new SDP in the form of the Independent Group), but that which is actually required upon a philosophically practical level to get Britain far beyond the (for many long ongoing and deepening) socio-economic malaise.

'Brexit' was seen by just over half the voting populace as the easy-fix. Since the Referendum, the complexities and machinations of EU-Exit politics, and increasingly clarified dangers – by way of constrained and retracted FDI – of an unprepared eventual outcome have become all too clear.


But there is hope....

Thankfully, behind the scenes there are far more pragmatic British business leaders and Opinion Formers who recognise the need to sit above such political pettiness. And though presently embroiled in the very negative consequences of Brexit, are seeking, to create a Re-Vitalised Britain.

Drawn gradually together in a prescient effort since 2012 or so, and formulating the frameworks for the previous Catapult Initiatives in STEM fields and far beyond, these people range across a myriad of large, medium and small firms and from other quarters of Academia and Policy. Whether previously Whitehall connected or distant – various talking heads have been sought to capture the broader voices from their respective arenas, to help devise a new Industrial and Services Framework for the country.

From the country's basically interpreted symptoms within a global context, a very general diagnosis has been formed, with presently a very loose prescription rightly simply called the Industrial Strategy.

[NB If only such plain use of language could be applied at its lower levels, rather than pseudo-trendy management speak].

An initial Green Paper apparently involved over 2000 organisations and various cross the broad stake-holders. Theresa May and Gregg Clark put their names to it when presenting the 'Industrial Route-Map' to Westminster, Business and the country at large.

However, this was a very broad-brush explanation of the present circumstances facing the nation's productivity concerns and the outlined remedies required.

From the heights of general ambition, it spoke of problems (Challenges), recognised and unrecognised opportunities and allotted assistance funds. As such, without an exacting route-map to industrial nirvana, it should be seen as a National Prospective as opposed to absolute National Panacea.

[NB the fact is that truly meaningful commercial innovation in products and services requires a well formally educated – and often self educated - labour force, managerial class and executive tier. The past 30 years has hollowed-out much of that previous social strata, as the humanities and media-led social menus seized and moulded the public consciousness and the typically very narrowly trained lower and middling workforce of the Public Sector swelled on the back of National Debt, to keep a retail led and housing-boom led consumer society economically expanding...until 2008/9].

The Presentation document of the White Paper is deliberately simplistic and repetitive to convey central messages.

It identifies the 4 Grand Challenges
  • Artificial Intelligence and Data Economy
  • Clean Growth
  • Aging Society
  • Future of Mobility

Those Challenges to be met by 5 Foundations for tomorrow's 'Transformed Economy':
  • Ideas
  • People
  • Infrastructure
  • Business Environment
  • Places

And upon those foundations, 10 Pillars are formed
  • Investing in Science, Research and Innovation
  • Developing Skills
  • Upgrading Infrastructure
  • Supporting Businesses to Start and Grow
  • Encouraging Trade and Inward Investment
  • Improving Procurement
  • Delivering Affordable Energy and Clean Growth
  • Cultivating World Leading Sectors
  • Driving Growth Across the Whole Country
  • Creating the Right Local Institutions

The following web-log delves deeper into the detail of that November 2017 presentation from the Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy.

How convincing was the paper set-out 14 months ago? And what details supported or undermined the all too easily formulated presentation headlines? (Themselves designed to strike a chord with business, the populace and critically national and foreign private investment).

Many from diverse backgrounds will be watching this eventual national revitalisation process unfold. 

From the long defunct ex-steelmen of South Wales who hope to see an Advanced Materials Production and AI Coding future for their grand-kids, to the C-Suite of Japanese, German, French and Indian auto-makers seeking retained EU trade deals and new exploratory design possibilities under vehicle type regulatory change. From a 'Renewables' future for America's GE (to counter China's 'new Nuclear' offerings) so critical to its Turnaround, to a proper foothold for the reduced carbon 'circular' bio-economy,  with broadened palette of services for waste -recycling firms like Biffa or Veolia.

A future wherein everyone to some degree becomes a Tom or a Barbara per the '1970s sit-com 'The Good Life, and where the once belittled Refuse Collector  goes from zero to hero within society.

Creating a successful future is never as simple as portrayed, and so the economic transformation will be lengthy and problematic.

Re-shaping much of Britain over previous decades has shown itself a far harder task than over-optimistic, previous UK-EU regional planning initiatives could have foreseen. A series of short lived high cost 'Culture' or likewise projects that provides little or no lasting commercial legacy.

Creation of Industry 4.0 to meet the Grand Challenges and more, will take real aforethought, insights and monumental levels of grand planning and critically creative and realistic socio-economic connected thinking.

The very recent recaptured essence of Hornby models and toys - once again operating from its historic Margate HQ - fulfils an almost spiritual  serendipitous parallel to the future re-energisation of a Digitally enhanced Eco-Industrial Britain.

From Margate in Kent, to Lima Peru - via Paddington of course - if well considered, planned and detailed, Britain could have a very bright future within the international geographic layout that is the global scheme of things.



03.03.2019

PS.
Saddened to read of the passing of Prof. (Lord) Bhattacharyya.

Spoke only momentarily at (then Rover Group's) Gaydon Eng HQ in the mid 1990s. Besides previous Japanese and then German execs periodically swarming around, he was one of the very few with much needed  mu!ti-dimensional and 'internationalist' perspectives of that period.

The 'English Patient' was even at the time in obvious disarry well before the BMW break-up and divestments... scuppered by it's own internal factions, historical / cultural inadequacies - seeking to do too much (in brands, model lines and research) with too little resource and increasing FX headwinds undermining export earnings.

Though Bhattacharyya's own remit within the WMG was to promote the adoption of innovation, he also well recognised the dangers of poorly planned Eng integration (between Concept, Dev and Prod), misappropriated innovation, the plethora of programmes and so needless financial waste and operational over-stretch that spread efforts too thinly.

The loss of a visionary pragmatist.



Thursday 14 February 2019

Micro Levels Trends – Industrial Espionage – Only Morals and Ethics Ensure a Long-Term Pro-Growth Agenda


The previous weblog, for a short while, highlighted the theft of personal notes, and the manner in which the contents of that 'ideas theft' was published in a respected national car-centric consumer magazine.

That theft was performed within the public realm, with the taking of a small black plastic bag containing two old and battered charity-shop bought books named 'American Capitalism' (authored by Galbraith) and a 'Dictionary of Civil Engineering'

Amongst those books, upon a napkin, were very specific notes of historical engineering precedence, which was to highlight the importance of technology transfer between the UK, Europe and America, which led to the spread and adoption of new engineering ideas, much needed for economic revitalisation, from the 1920s onward, to 'spread the wealth' and re-balance what were the abject social inequities of the day.

Hence obvious parallel and echo to the western world today.

The theft of those personal notes was not by chance, and neither was publication and expansion of the initial basic examples provided.

though an obvious criminal offence, in the big scheme of things it is minimally disruptive; simply another deliberately contrived ineffective ploy to deliberately undermine.

However, this has all too many reverberations of distant past experiences inside the auto-industry. When various conceptual ideas were effectively provided without any recompense for effort, time or eventual commercial worth to a company.

Thus effectively taken.

This when undertaking self-motivated 'extra-curricula' weekend effort so as to improve the prospects of that company and its parent company.

The end result of what was previously boundless passion and motivation, was inevitable distaste and disillusionment because of poor man-management, since proper accreditation and other reward had not forthcoming. So illustrating a short-sighted operating mentality that can often exist amongst unscrupulous senior management in poorly managed enterprise.

The sad fact is that stolen and so unrecognised conceptual innovation is in many commercial circles wrongly seen to be 'par for the course'. Part of the pathetically shallow (junior manager) mentality that views Sun Tzu's 'The Art of War' as the only handbook to be followed. Often a clique-socialised outcome in which Machiavellian methods are played-out as normative behaviour, and so inevitably  aped-out across the worst sections of junior, middle and senior management.

But doing so only illustrates the creative bancruptcy of such managers and thus the firm itself.

This most obvious example by its very nature the act of intellectual theft.

When children behave in such a manner they are sent to bed with no dinner, their dinner put into the freezer to stay frozen, until they started behaving themselves.

The same must surely be applied to those in media circles who operate in a similar manner, the same said of those elsewhere, for whom they (and all too often others) literally 'act'.

Such actions destroy the very fabric of trust, and so the ability to meaningfully interact and so the (re)building of strong and creative industries.

That (re)building typically reliant upon individuals who have independent thought and spirit, not 'Yes (Wo)Men', who can rarely see past that quarter's or annual management budget that pays their (often over-inflated) salaries. Let alone their inability to absorb and merge - in a succinct hypothetical manner - the myriad of facets that must be considered spanning the macro with the micro for the long term.

This - amongst other factors - was the very reason that the investment-auto-motives web-log came into being.

Th

Quite obviously, without the trust upon which exchange and creativity can thrive, we would exist in a 'blank-space' world, absent of new and meaningful ideas for economic expansion.

There is the world of difference between identifying and satiating new 'white space' opportunities, and that of socio-economic stagnation resultant from broken trust and 'blank space' outcomes. The commercial world as known would contract and eventually collapse.

So to those in the various media tribes connected to 'social actors' within everyday folk; who in adu think they are 'only playing the game', its time to grow up, no matter what your age.

The most useful people in society recognise the need for trust early on, and soon learn to outgrow playground games between the ages of Six and Ten. 

Unfortunately many others are unfortunately still 'playing' such infantile games by the time they reach Three Score and Ten.

Society suffers for it.

A thriving opportunistic 'White Space' outcome,  or a contracted 'Blank Space' result?

Make the right choice through your own attitude and conduct.